Terry-Smith asks:

Which presidential candidate will win Texas?

Started Aug 04, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

The 2020 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (Real Clear PoliticsElectoral Vote Map). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 32%
The Republican Party candidate 68%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 287
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 970
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.138
2.
-0.138
3.
-0.138
4.
-0.138
5.
-0.138

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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