archdiver asks:

In how many states will Kanye West appear on the ballot for the 2020 presidential election?

Started Aug 07, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 08:01AM UTC

On 4 July 2020, rapper Kanye West announced that he was running for president (ABC News). Since then, West has been racing to meet filing deadlines in various states in order to appear on the ballot (Newsweek, Forbes). For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state. Whether West ceases to be a candidate before election day is immaterial.

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The question closed "Between 9 and 16" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
8 or fewer 0%
Between 9 and 16 100%
Between 17 and 24 0%
More than 24 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 132
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 385
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.173
2.
-0.161
4.
-0.141
5.
-0.137

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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