Started Aug 07, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC

SE_Meyer and kinnaj ask:

When will Microsoft announce a deal for its acquisition of TikTok in the U.S.?

The social media app TikTok has come under scrutiny as a potential security risk due to potential Chinese government influence (CNN, ABC (Australia)). Microsoft has said that it is in discussions with TikTok parent ByteDance to own and operate the app in the United States and other markets (Reuters, Microsoft, CNBC). Microsoft need not be the sole acquirer in a deal to count.

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The question closed "Not before 1 November 2020" with a closing date of 1 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 16 September 2020 0%
Between 16 September 2020 and 31 October 2020 0%
Not before 1 November 2020 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 206
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 818
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.143
3.
-0.13
4.
-0.125
5.
-0.118

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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