Started Aug 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

Will California voters approve Proposition 16 (Repeal Proposition 209 Affirmative Action Amendment)?

In 1996, California voters approved Proposition 209, which states that California "shall not discriminate against, or grant preferential treatment to, any individual or group on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in the operation of public employment, public education, or public contracting" (California Legislature). The California state legislature referred the question of its repeal (Ballotpedia, California Legislature, Spectrum News).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Correct Answer

No

Final Crowd Forecast

10%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

65

Forecast
Count

200

Crowd Brier Score

0.87


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.928
2.
-0.898
3.
-0.875
4.
-0.817
5.
-0.803