Will California voters approve Proposition 16 (Repeal Proposition 209 Affirmative Action Amendment)?

Started Aug 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

In 1996, California voters approved Proposition 209, which states that California "shall not discriminate against, or grant preferential treatment to, any individual or group on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in the operation of public employment, public education, or public contracting" (California Legislature). The California state legislature referred the question of its repeal (Ballotpedia, California Legislature, Spectrum News).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 10.00%
No 90.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 200
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.928
2.
-0.898
3.
-0.875
4.
-0.817
5.
-0.803

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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