What will be Airbnb's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?
Closed Dec 04, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Airbnb confidentially filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for an eventual IPO (CNBC, Reuters, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day market capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg. Whether Airbnb goes public via an IPO, direct listing, or a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) would be immaterial (Investopedia (IPO v. Direct Listing), Investopedia (SPACs)).
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The question closed "Airbnb will not trade publicly before 4 December 2020" with a closing date of 4 December 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $15 billion | 0% | |
| Between $15 billion and $25 billion, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than $25 billion but less than $35 billion | 0% | |
| $35 billion or more | 0% | |
| Airbnb will not trade publicly before 4 December 2020 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 83 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 345 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
