Started Aug 28, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 04, 2020 08:01AM UTC

What will be Airbnb's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?

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Airbnb confidentially filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for an eventual IPO (CNBC, Reuters, Bloomberg). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day market capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg. Whether Airbnb goes public via an IPO, direct listing, or a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) would be immaterial (Investopedia (IPO v. Direct Listing), Investopedia (SPACs)).

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The question closed "Airbnb will not trade publicly before 4 December 2020" with a closing date of 4 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $15 billion 0%
Between $15 billion and $25 billion, inclusive 0%
More than $25 billion but less than $35 billion 0%
$35 billion or more 0%
Airbnb will not trade publicly before 4 December 2020 100%

No. of
Forecasters

83

Forecast
Count

345

Crowd Brier Score

0.6158


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.784
3.
-0.645
4.
-0.479
5.
-0.468

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