Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many active California fires with 10,000 or more acres burned will be reported by the LA Times' California Fire Map as of 1 October 2020?
California has already experienced record-setting wildfires in 2020 and more could be on the way (Guardian, Mercury News, NY Times). The outcome will be determined using the LA Times' California Fire Map as of 5:00PM ET on 1 October 2020 (LA Times, left side). As of 1 September there are 14 fires with 10,000 or more acres burned.
The question closed "4 or more" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|4 or more||100%|