Ryan-Beck asks:
In its 2020 referendum, will Puerto Rico vote to become a state?
Started
Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Challenges
Currently scheduled for 3 November 2020, the non-binding referendum will ask Puerto Ricans, "Should Puerto Rico be immediately admitted into the Union as a state?" (Ballotpedia). Legislators in Washington, DC, are closely following the referendum (The Hill).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 95.00% | |
| No | 5.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 146 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 262 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
