In Fulton v. City of Philadelphia (City), will the Supreme Court rule that the City's requirement that Catholic Social Services (CSS) not discriminate against same-sex couples as a condition for working with the City's foster children is unconstitutional?

Started Sep 25, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 17, 2021 02:00PM UTC
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In March 2018, the City barred Catholic Social Services (CSS) from placing children in foster homes because of the CSS policy of not licensing same-sex couples to be foster parents (Oyez). CSS sued, arguing for its right to free exercise of religion and free speech (Ballotpedia). The district court and Third Circuit Court of Appeals ruled for the City (Third Circuit Court of Appeals, SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2020 term, but if it does not, the question will close as no. If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 17 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 100.00%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 71
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 260
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.087
2.
-0.087
3.
-0.087
4.
-0.086
5.
-0.086

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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