Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 27, 2020 12:07AM UTC

r00k asks:

Before 5 January 2021, will Vice President Mike Pence cast a tie-breaking vote in the Senate confirming Amy Coney Barrett to the U.S. Supreme Court?

With an already closely-divided Senate and reluctance by some GOP Senators to vote on a replacement for Ruth Bader Ginsburg before the November election, there's a chance that Vice President Pence would be called upon to break a tie in Amy Coney Barrett's confirmation vote (NBC News, NY Post, CBS News). The question would close upon a final Senate vote on Barrett's confirmation.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 October 2020.

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Correct Answer

No

Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

97

Forecast
Count

171

Crowd Brier Score

0.001


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001