Started Oct 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

When will Lebanon's parliament give a vote of confidence to a new government?

Mustapha Adib, who was chosen to form a government after the previous one had been toppled following a massive explosion in Beirut in early August 2020, resigned on 26 September 2020, citing tensions among the various political groups in the country (BBC, Economist, France24, AP).

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The question closed "Not before 1 April 2021" with a closing date of 1 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 December 2020 0%
Between 1 December 2020 and 31 January 2021 0%
Between 1 February 2021 and 31 March 2021 0%
Not before 1 April 2021 100%

No. of
Forecasters

84

Forecast
Count

508

Crowd Brier Score

0.6274


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.648
2.
-0.606
3.
-0.481
4.
-0.465
5.
-0.451

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