Question 5 of 49 in US Election 2020
Started Oct 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 13, 2020 08:01AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 13 November 2020 relative to its closing value on 2 November 2020?

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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Name Probability
Lower by more than 12% 0%
Lower by between 4% and 12%, inclusive 16%
Between lower by less than 4% and higher by less than 4% 63%
Higher by between 4% and 12%, inclusive 21%
Higher by more than 12% 0%

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