Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will Russia and the People's Republic of China (PRC) conduct any joint naval exercises before 1 March 2021?
Started
Nov 09, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 15, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Closed Feb 15, 2021 03:00AM UTC
Tags
Russia and China have engaged in joint naval exercises in the past, both bilaterally and with other nations (Diplomat, CNN). Both Russia and the PRC conducting joint naval exercises with one or more other navies would also count.
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NOTE 13 November 2020: The joint exercises must include both Russia and China to count.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 14 February 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 96.50% | |
No | 3.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 155 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 430 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |