Started Nov 17, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 29, 2020 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

On 29 November 2020, how many Learners will be "already enrolled" for the Coursera online course “Finding Purpose and Meaning In Life: Living for What Matters Most?"

Coursera is a massive open online course (MOOC) provider for distance learning (Coursera). The course “Finding Purpose and Meaning In Life: Living for What Matters Most” is offered through Coursera by the University of Michigan (Coursera - Course Website). The outcome will be determined using data provided on the course website as of approximately 5:00PM ET on 29 November 2020. As of 1 November 2020, Learners totaled 79,211. As of 16 November 2020, Learners totaled 85,057.

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The answer closed "Between 87,000 and 89,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 29 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 87,000 0%
Between 87,000 and 89,000, inclusive 84%
More than 89,000 but fewer than 91,000 16%
Between 91,000 and 94,000, inclusive 0%
More than 94,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

46

Forecast
Count

123

Crowd Brier Score

0.1172


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.19
2.
-0.168
4.
-0.145
5.
-0.138

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