Started Nov 17, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 03, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Which NFL quarterback will throw for the most touchdowns in the 2020 regular season?

The outcome will be determined using "NFL Player Passing Stats 2020" data as reported by ESPN (ESPN). In the event of a tie, the quarterback who threw for the most yards per game (YDS/G) will be considered to have thrown for the most touchdowns, followed by completion percentage (CMP%).

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The question closed "Aaron Rogers" with a closing date of 3 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Tom Brady 0%
Patrick Mahomes 0%
Aaron Rogers 100%
Russell Wilson 0%
Another quarterback 0%

No. of
Forecasters

86

Forecast
Count

242

Crowd Brier Score

0.3801


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.351
2.
-0.343
4.
-0.31
5.
-0.292

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