Before 1 July 2021, will presidential and/or parliamentary elections be held in Kyrgyzstan?

Started Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Kyrgyzstan experienced political upheaval in the wake of vote-rigging allegations in its October 2020 parliamentary elections (Economist, BBC). On 17 November 2020, the Kyrgyz parliament adopted amendments to the law on elections mandating that they take place no later than June 2021 (Diplomat). Whether results are annulled after the election is held would not impact the counting of an election having been held (e.g., BBC).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Yes, only for president" with a closing date of 1 July 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only for president 100%
Yes, only for parliament 0%
Yes, for both president and parliament 0%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 221
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.864803
2.
-0.4602
4.
-0.336901
5.
-0.318584

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username