Started Dec 04, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 July 2021, will presidential and/or parliamentary elections be held in Kyrgyzstan?

Kyrgyzstan experienced political upheaval in the wake of vote-rigging allegations in its October 2020 parliamentary elections (Economist, BBC). On 17 November 2020, the Kyrgyz parliament adopted amendments to the law on elections mandating that they take place no later than June 2021 (Diplomat). Whether results are annulled after the election is held would not impact the counting of an election having been held (e.g., BBC).

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The question closed "Yes, only for president" with a closing date of 1 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only for president 100%
Yes, only for parliament 0%
Yes, for both president and parliament 0%
No 0%

No. of
Forecasters

35

Forecast
Count

221

Crowd Brier Score

0.7014


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.865
2.
-0.46
4.
-0.337
5.
-0.319

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