Question 69 of 126 in In the News 2021
Started Dec 16, 2020 12:45AM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will a Carnival Cruise Line cruise next depart from the continental U.S.?

While CDC restrictions due to COVID-19 have been relaxed, there is ongoing uncertainty regarding when a Carnival Cruise Line cruise will depart next (CNN, CDC). A cruise must include ticketed passengers to count.

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Name Probability
Before 1 April 2021 0%
Between 1 April and 30 June 2021 6%
Between 1 July and 30 September 2021 55%
Between 1 October 2021 and 31 December 2021 36%
Not before 1 January 2022 3%

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