Started Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Before 1 April 2021, will an election be held for Israel's Knesset?

Disagreements within the ruling coalition, most recently over the budget, may lead Israel to hold its fourth election in two years (NY Times, Times of Israel, Foreign Policy).

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Name Probability
Yes, and Likud will win the most seats of any party 83%
Yes, and Likud will tie or not win the most seats of any party 15%
There will not be an election before 1 April 2021 2%

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