Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the closing price of Mercado Libre stock on 15 February 2021?

Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Latin American e-commerce company Mercado Libre has had a major surge in business during the COVID-19 pandemic (eMarketer). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day closing value reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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The question closed "More than $1,800.00 but less than $2,000.00" with a closing date of 15 February 2021.

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Versión en Español:

Pregunta: ¿Cual será el precio de cierre de la acción de Mercado Libre el 15 de febrero de 2021?  

Información adicional: La empresa de e-commerce latino-americana Mercado Libre ha visto un gran crecimiento durante la pandemia de COVID-19 (eMarketer). El resultado de esta pregunta será determinado por el precio de cierre reportado por Bloomberg (Bloomberg). La versión en español de esta pregunta ha sido incluida sólo a efectos informativos, y en situaciones donde existe una diferencia de interpretación entre las versiones en inglés y español, prevalecerá la versión original en inglés.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $1,600.00 0%
Between $1,600.00 and $1,800.00, inclusive 0%
More than $1,800.00 but less than $2,000.00 99%
Between $2,000.00 and $2,200.00, inclusive 1%
More than $2,200.00 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 374
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.128
2.
-0.114
3.
-0.063
4.
-0.06
5.
-0.058

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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