Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will any group of Amazon employees in the U.S. vote in the affirmative to form a union?

An election is expected to be held at a warehouse near Birmingham, Alabama, one of the first times Amazon workers have held a vote on whether to unionize (EconomistNY Times, The Hill). A vote must be sanctioned by the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) to count.

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NOTE 11 January 2021: Any Amazon subsidiary wholly-owned by Amazon would count.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

218

Forecast
Count

698

Crowd Brier Score

0.4448


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.572
2.
-0.545
3.
-0.544
4.
-0.528
5.
-0.526

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