Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?

North Macedonia has not completed a census since 2002, partly due to concern that it could disrupt the country's ethnic-conscious government (Economist, Financial Times, OBC Transeuropa, Balkan Insight). A census that is started but not completed would not count (e.g., OBC Transeuropa). The actual release of data is immaterial.

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Name Probability
Yes 38%

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