Russia and the U.S. signed the current "New START" treaty in 2010, which was intended to further reduce stockpiles of nuclear weapons in each country (Moscow Times). The treaty is set to expire on 5 February 2021 unless it is extended for up to five years by mutual agreement or superseded by another agreement (Federation of American Scientists, Newsweek).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 February 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.