Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?

Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC

While the Nicaraguan government faces sanctions and pressure from the U.S. government and others, Russia's ties with the Central American nation seem to remain strong (Costa Rica News, The Moscow Times, Kyiv Post, Washington Post). For the purposes of this question, a Russian senior government official is the head of state or an official listed as such by the Russian government (government.ru).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 7 November 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 69
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 311
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.334801
2.
-0.32803
3.
-0.321885
4.
-0.317361
5.
-0.314912

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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