Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?

While the Nicaraguan government faces sanctions and pressure from the U.S. government and others, Russia's ties with the Central American nation seem to remain strong (Costa Rica News, The Moscow Times, Kyiv Post, Washington Post). For the purposes of this question, a Russian senior government official is the head of state or an official listed as such by the Russian government (government.ru).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 7 November 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

69

Forecast
Count

311

Crowd Brier Score

0.1735


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.335
2.
-0.328
3.
-0.322
4.
-0.317
5.
-0.315

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