Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?
Closed May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The next Scottish Parliament election is scheduled to be held on 6 May 2021 (Edinburgh Live, Parliament.scot, Parliament.scot - Current State of the Parties). First Minister of Scotland Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party and opponent of Brexit, is seeking a strong result in the election to build momentum for a new referendum on Scottish independence from the United Kingdom (BBC).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 6 May 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.00% | |
| No | 34.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 174 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 547 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
