Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will the Republic of Chad announce that legislative elections currently scheduled for 24 October 2021 will be postponed or canceled?

Elections for Chad's legislature, the National Assembly, were last held in 2011, with 2015 elections postponed five times (Economist, Barron's, Le Monde [in French]).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 26 April 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

96%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

69

Forecast
Count

170

Crowd Brier Score

0.0624


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.04
2.
-0.039
3.
-0.039
4.
-0.038
5.
-0.038

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