Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

What will be the combined U.S. domestic theater box office gross for June, July, and August 2021?

The movie industry has seen its box office returns plummet due to the coronavirus pandemic, and there is concern it may never fully recover (Economist, LA Times). The outcome will be determined by Box Office Mojo with the sum of the "Cumulative Gross" column for June, July, and August 2021 (Box Office Mojo). For June, July, and August 2020, the combined U.S. domestic theater box office gross was $39,293,148.

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Name Probability
Less than $200 million 14%
Between $200 million and $500 million, inclusive 40%
More than $500 million but less than $1 billion 33%
Between $1 billion and $1.75 billion, inclusive 13%
More than $1.75 billion 0%

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