Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

What will be the combined U.S. domestic theater box office gross for June, July, and August 2021?

The movie industry has seen its box office returns plummet due to the coronavirus pandemic, and there is concern it may never fully recover (Economist, LA Times). The outcome will be determined by Box Office Mojo with the sum of the "Cumulative Gross" column for June, July, and August 2021 (Box Office Mojo). For June, July, and August 2020, the combined U.S. domestic theater box office gross was $39,293,148.

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The question closed "Between $1 billion and $1.75 billion, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 September 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $200 million 0%
Between $200 million and $500 million, inclusive 0%
More than $500 million but less than $1 billion 0%
Between $1 billion and $1.75 billion, inclusive 100%
More than $1.75 billion 0%

No. of
Forecasters

137

Forecast
Count

667

Crowd Brier Score

0.3431


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.411
2.
-0.403
3.
-0.347
4.
-0.336
5.
-0.322

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