Started May 03, 2016 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Before 2018, will it be officially announced that any state is withdrawing from the Schengen agreement?

The Schengen Area allows citizens of participating countries to cross each others' borders without border checks (European Commission, Newsweek, European Council on Foreign Relations). Some EU member states do not participate, but so far no country that has joined the area has subsequently withdrawn. A list of Schengen states can be found here. Recommended Questions: Will more than 1 million refugees and migrants arrive in Europe by sea in 2016? Will a majority of voters in Britain's upcoming referendum elect to remain in the European Union? There were no official announcements that any state is withdrawing from the Schengen agreement. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.


Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 562
Average for questions older than 6 months: 249
Number of Forecasts 2494
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.041
3.
-0.041
4.
-0.041
5.
-0.041

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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