Started Feb 16, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Maarten and Adam Grant ask:

Which will happen next regarding the price of a bitcoin?

The outcome will be determined using price data as reported by Coindesk (Coindesk).

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The question closed "Neither will occur before 1 July 2021" with a closing date of 1 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Bitcoin will have a price of $25,000 or less 1%
Bitcoin will have a price of $100,000 or more 0%
Neither will occur before 1 July 2021 99%

No. of
Forecasters

543

Forecast
Count

1883

Crowd Brier Score

0.0439


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.091
2.
-0.09
3.
-0.09
4.
-0.089
5.
-0.089

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