The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Between 26 January 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many members of the Politburo will Chinese state media announce have been arrested and/or expelled from their posts?

Started Feb 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

China’s Politburo is the primary policy-making and executive committee of the Chinese Communist Party (BBC,, Brookings). Various Politburo members have been arrested and/or expelled in recent years, which was seen by many observers as the result of Xi Jinping consolidating power in the country (BBC, Tribune India).

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The question closed "0" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
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1 0%
2 or more 0%

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Number of Forecasters 100
Average for questions older than 6 months: 220
Number of Forecasts 349
Average for questions older than 6 months: 615
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