What will be Coinbase's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?

Started Mar 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 14, 2021 08:00PM UTC
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Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase announced that it would go public through a direct listing in January, with its initial SEC registration published in late February (Coinbase Blog, SEC, Coindesk, Axios). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day market capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg.

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The question closed "Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive" with a closing date of 14 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $75 billion 4%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive 14%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion 44%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive 32%
More than $150 billion 6%
Coinbase will not trade publicly before 30 October 2021 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 50
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 129
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.814
2.
-0.752
3.
-0.453
4.
-0.447
5.
-0.427

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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