Started Mar 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will the US FDA approve the drug molnupiravir for use to treat COVID-19 before 1 October 2021?

Molnupiravir, a drug being developed by Merck and Ridgeback Biotherapeutics, has shown positive results in clinical trials in combatting COVID-19 (Economist, Fox News, Merck). “Compassionate use" and "emergency use" authorizations would count (FDA, FDA).

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Name Probability
Yes 19%

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