Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Adam Grant and 024_andrew and ask:

Will Scott Morrison cease to be prime minister of Australia before 1 September 2021?

A series of rape and sexual assault allegations has hit the Australian Parliament (ABC Australia, Guardian, BBC).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

206

Forecast
Count

451

Crowd Brier Score

0.0014


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002
2.
-0.002
3.
-0.002
4.
-0.002
5.
-0.002

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