Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

belikewater asks:

When will the World Health Organization (WHO) report 40 million or more confirmed cases of COVID-19 in India?

India has faced a monumental surge in COVID-19 cases and deaths since April 2021 (BBC, AP). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by WHO (WHO). Data will be accessed as necessary no later than 2 October 2021.

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The question closed "Not before 1 October 2021" with a closing date of 1 October 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 July 2021 0%
Between 1 July 2021 and 31 July 2021 0%
Between 1 August 2021 and 31 August 2021 0%
Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021 0%
Not before 1 October 2021 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 121
Average for questions older than 6 months: 250
Number of Forecasts 692
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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