Adam Grant asks:

Which will happen next regarding the price of Dogecoin?

Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 21, 2021 11:59PM UTC

The outcome will be determined using price data as reported in Coindesk's "1y" chart for Dogecoin (Coindesk).

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NOTE 19 May 2021: The question will be resolved using Coindesk's "1y" chart for Dogecoin. Any other information on the page is immaterial.

NOTE 1 June 2021: The outcome will be determined using price data as reported in Coindesk's "1y" chart in its default "Close" setting.


The question closed "Dogecoin will have a value of $0.25 or less" with a closing date of 21 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Dogecoin will have a value of $1.00 or more 0%
Dogecoin will have a value of $0.25 or less 96%
Neither will occur before 1 August 2021 4%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 103
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 449
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

3.
-0.5
4.
-0.451
5.
-0.427

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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