Started May 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Which cricket team will win the 2021 ICC World Test Championship Final?

The International Cricket Council's (ICC's) World Test Championship Final is scheduled for 18-22 June 2021 in Southampton, England (ICC). There is currently no systemic way of dealing with a draw besides awarding joint championship (CricTracker).

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The question closed "New Zealand" with a closing date of 23 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
India 35%
New Zealand 50%
The match will end in a draw or tie 15%
The 2021 Final will either be canceled or the first day will be postponed until after 18 July 2021 0%

No. of
Forecasters

57

Forecast
Count

186

Crowd Brier Score

0.4053


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.465
2.
-0.448
3.
-0.347
4.
-0.267
5.
-0.263

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