Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will New Zealand's AgResearch report having a net annual financial surplus (pretax) in its 2020/21 fiscal year?
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
AgResearch is "responsible for delivering innovative science and research outcomes specifically for the agricultural sector," and its fiscal year is 1 July to 30 June (AgResearch). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2021 and the outcome will be determined using data as provided in AgResearch's 2021 Annual Report, expected in October 2021 (AgResearch - Annual Reports). For FY 2019/20, AgResearch reported a net annual financial surplus of NZ$3,780 before tax, in thousands of NZ dollars (AgResearch - 2020 Annual Report, see "Surplus/(deficit) before tax" on page 103).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85.00% | |
| No | 15.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 33 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 70 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
