The Economist asks:

Before 22 July 2021, will Hamas or the Israeli government accuse the other of violating the Gaza ceasefire agreed to on 20 May 2021?

Started May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC

After 11 days of fighting in and around Gaza, Hamas and Israel agreed to a ceasefire (Economist, BBC, NBC News). For the purposes of this question, "Israeli government" means the prime minister or other cabinet-level ministers.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 22 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 144
Average for questions older than 6 months: 230
Number of Forecasts 737
Average for questions older than 6 months: 638
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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