The Economist asks:
Before 22 July 2021, will Hamas or the Israeli government accuse the other of violating the Gaza ceasefire agreed to on 20 May 2021?
Started
May 21, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jul 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
After 11 days of fighting in and around Gaza, Hamas and Israel agreed to a ceasefire (Economist, BBC, NBC News). For the purposes of this question, "Israeli government" means the prime minister or other cabinet-level ministers.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 22 July 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.00% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 144 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 230 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 737 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 638 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
