Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 11, 2021 01:30AM UTC

Tolga asks:

When will 300 million people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

In spring 2021, India became the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic (CNBC, BBC). The outcome will be determined using data reported by the Indian government (India Ministry of Health and Family Welfare). Click "Vaccination State Data," which opens a daily PDF report, "Cumulative Coverage Report of COVID-19 Vaccination." Navigate to the "India" row and the column titled "1st Dose." Data is reported in Indian notation; three hundred million (300,000,000) in international notation is equivalent to 30 crore (30,00,00,000).

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The question closed "Before 1 August 2021" with a closing date of 10 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 August 2021 100%
Between 1 August 2021 and 31 August 2021 0%
Between 1 September 2021 and 30 September 2021 0%
Between 1 October 2021 and 31 October 2021 0%
Not before 1 November 2021 0%

No. of
Forecasters

59

Forecast
Count

185

Crowd Brier Score

0.0267


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.04
3.
-0.04
4.
-0.026
5.
-0.022

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