jayb asks:
How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2021 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?
Started
Jun 04, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted that the 2021 hurricane season, which runs from 1 June 2021 to 30 November 2021, will be "above-normal" (NOAA). The outcome will be determined using categorizations provided by the National Hurricane Center (National Hurricane Center, National Hurricane Center - Reports).
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The question closed "4" with a closing date of 1 December 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 2 or fewer | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | |
| 4 | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | |
| 6 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 134 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1024 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
