Started Jun 04, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 08, 2021 07:01AM UTC

What will be the US domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for the next James Bond film No Time to Die?

No Time to Die, starring Daniel Craig for the fifth time as James Bond, is the 25th installment in the Bond movie franchise (IMDb). The outcome will be determined with "Domestic Weekend" data for the weekend of 8-10 October 2021 as reported by Box Office Mojo (Box Office Mojo). If the release date is postponed beyond 2021, the question will be voided. The opening weekends for the last two Bond films totaled:

Skyfall (2012): $88,364,714
Spectre (2015): $70,403,148

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The question closed "No Time to Die will gross as much or less than Spectre ($70,403,148)" with a closing date of 11 October 2021.

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Tags
Challenges
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
No Time to Die will gross as much or less than Spectre ($70,403,148) 14%
No Time to Die will gross more than Spectre but less than Skyfall ($88,364,714) 32%
No Time to Die will gross as much or more than Skyfall 54%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 134
average for questions older than 6 months: 258
Number of Forecasts 482
average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.771
2.
-0.754
3.
-0.729
4.
-0.712
5.
-0.673

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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