Started Jun 17, 2021 10:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 16, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher on 16 July 2021 than it was on 16 June 2021?

Oil prices have risen considerably in 2021 (Business Today). The outcome will be determined by the closing price per barrel as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). The closing price of Brent on 16 June 2021 was $74.39 per barrel.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 16 July 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

47%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

69

Forecast
Count

327

Crowd Brier Score

0.8766


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.858
2.
-0.852
3.
-0.777
4.
-0.691
5.
-0.648

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