Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

As of 1 November 2021, will Waka Kotahi list 321 or more qualifying electrical vehicle (EV) charging stations as available in New Zealand?

The EV charging station network in New Zealand is expanding (Stuff). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Waka Kotahi, New Zealand's transport agency (Waka Kotahi). The site includes a live map and table of qualifying charging stations. Data on the "Table view" will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00 pm ET on 1 November 2021. For more on "qualifying" stations, see "Minimum requirements for the nationwide network" (Waka Kotahi).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 November 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 44
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 218
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.347
2.
-0.312
3.
-0.229
4.
-0.229
5.
-0.206

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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