Will Haiti hold a presidential election before 1 January 2022?
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Haiti's presidential election is currently planned for 26 September 2021, along with legislative elections and a constitutional referendum (Reuters). The assassination of President Jovenel Moïse on 7 July 2021 has called the timeline into question, though some officials have publicly committed to keeping the date (CNN, NY Times). If no candidate receives a majority in the first round, a runoff will be held about two months later in November (UN). If there is a second round, the question would close as of the date the second round of voting is held.
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NOTE 16 August 2021: If a second round must be held to determine a winner and the second round is not held before 1 January 2022, then the question would close "no."
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 82 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 323 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |