Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC

At close of business on 15 December 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 3 November 2021?

The US federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its December meeting is scheduled for 14-15 December 2021.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Same" with a closing date of 15 December 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 0%
Same 100%
Higher 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 69
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 165
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
2.
-0.0
3.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username