Before 13 February 2022, will there be a lethal confrontation in Iran or at sea between the national military or law enforcement forces of Iran and those of either Israel or a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member state?
Regional tensions involving Iran continue (Reuters, Washington Post, BBC). The GCC is a group of six Arab countries bordering the Persian Gulf (GCC). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality for the national military or law enforcement forces of either side. For the purposes of this question, Iran's national military forces include the Revolutionary Guard Corps. A lethal confrontation taking place in Iranian airspace or international airspace over the sea would count.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 13 February 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Number of Forecasters||140|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 259|
|Number of Forecasts||314|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 688|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|