asks:
Will legal restrictions on the number of people who can meet indoors be imposed in England before 1 January 2022?
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The UK government lifted indoor occupancy limits and other COVID-19 restrictions on 19 July 2021, dubbed by many as "Freedom Day" (Sky News, Gov.uk). However, seasonalities and the Delta variants of SARS-CoV-2 and others continue to raise concerns that another round of restrictions may come (Bustle, GoodtoKnow). Restrictions indoors at home or in public places would not need to cover the whole of England to count, but restrictions specific to hospitals and medical care facilities would not count. The question would close upon restrictions taking effect.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
NOTE 1 September 2021: For the purposes of this question, regulated care homes are considered medical care facilities (NHS Data Model and Dictionary).
NOTE 7 September 2021: "Rule of Six"-type restrictions and household limits would count (inews.co.uk).
NOTE 21 December 2021: Legal restrictions in the form of curfews or closures of indoor public places taking effect would count.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 196 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 794 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |