Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will happen next to the United Arab Emirate's rolling 7-day average of confirmed cases of COVID-19?
With one of the highest COVID-19 vaccination rates in the world, the UAE has continued to reopen to the rest of the world (Business Insider, Khaleej Times). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Our World in Data (Our World in Data - UAE, see "Daily new confirmed COVID-19 cases" chart).
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The question closed "The 7-day average will reach 500 or lower" with a closing date of 20 September 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| The 7-day average will reach 1,500 or higher | 0% | |
| The 7-day average will reach 500 or lower | 100% | |
| Neither will occur before 12 November 2021 | 0% |
