What percentage of venture capital dollars will go to US startups with female-only founders in 2022, according to Crunchbase?

Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Women-led firms have historically seen a small fraction of venture capital funding (Crunchbase, Harvard Business Review). The outcome will be determined using data published by Crunchbase for the US for 2022, expected in 2023. For 2020, the percentage was 2.4%.

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The question closed "Less than 2.5%" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 2.5% 81%
Between 2.5% and 2.9%, inclusive 9%
More than 2.9% but less than 3.5% 10%
3.5% or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 57
Average for questions older than 6 months: 209
Number of Forecasts 350
Average for questions older than 6 months: 592
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.331
3.
-0.208
4.
-0.173
5.
-0.157

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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