Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
When will the Government of Ontario cease to require people to show proof of COVID-19 vaccination to use indoor areas of restaurants?
The Canadian province of Ontario began requiring proof of vaccination in late September to address a rise in cases (Ontario.ca, CBC, CTV News). Limited exceptions to the requirement (e.g., use a washroom, place an order) are immaterial.
The question closed "Not before 12 February 2022" with a closing date of 12 February 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Before 19 November 2021||0%|
|Between 19 November 2021 and 31 December 2021||0%|
|Between 1 January 2022 and 11 February 2022||0%|
|Not before 12 February 2022||100%|
|Number of Forecasters||113|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 259|
|Number of Forecasts||204|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 688|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|